A Critical Weekend for the Future of Europe
At some stage in the future, we may look back on this weekend as a turning point for the Euro, or even the whole direction of Europe and the integrated Europe ideal.
The Presidential election in France is the biggest event, but there is also the vital general election in Greece, local elections in Italy which will test the climate faced by the caretaker Prime Minster, Mario Monti, and a key regional election in Schleswig-Holstein which could weaken Angela Merkel's position in Germany.
If the socialist contender, Francois Hollande, wins in France, we will almost certainly see a move away from the purist "austerity is all" policy promulgated by the Sarkozy / Merkel alliance. At the very least, there will be a stronger focus on creating growth rather than purely cutting expenditure. Ironically perhaps, there is no chance of Hollande actually taking any of the classic measures to drive growth, such as de-regulation, opening up markets, or tax incentives for entrepreneurs. His prescription is re-negotiation of the EU fiscal pact, swingeing tax increase for the wealthy and more public works and other expensive job creation schemes.






























