Will a Return to Automotive OEM In-Country Sourcing in the UK Signal Something Larger?
Why do UK automotive companies want to source locally produced content? It all comes down to total cost (vs. unit cost) and reducing supply chain risk. To wit, the reasons they cited include: "the benefit of favourable exchange rates, minimising the vulnerabilities and logistical costs associated with an extended supply chain, the UK's labour flexibility and positive industrial relations, and sourcing new technology for ultra-low carbon vehicles." Labor flexibility? I'm not so sure on that one, but with an unemployment rate approaching 8% (still less than the US), perhaps UK labour is becoming more flexible than its collective-bargaining counterparts across the Atlantic.
What's even more interesting to me about the study is not what it signals for the UK industry -- which is a relatively small automotive market -- but for the global environment. Indeed, I believe this study reflects a new trend in the market towards pushing for stability in the supply chain vs. stretching it to its cost limits. During the global sourcing heyday, a good rule of thumb was that if it was a part or component and could fit in a shoebox (or a box not much larger), then it was a good candidate for moving offshore, especially if labor was a significant part of the total cost equation. Many items on the list that automotive companies plan to locally source from the UK market fit this equation, such as wiring harnesses, fasteners, nuts and bolts, break components, alternators, and starter motors, etc.
With organizations developing a better understanding of all of the risks inherent in a stretched global supply chain (e.g., currency, logistics, variable energy and commodity costs, supply availability, inventory, supplier financial/operational viability, etc.), I have no doubt that we'll see more and more of these headlines in the coming years. Moreover, the more China is taken to task for currency manipulation on the world export stage, the greater the fuel for local governments to add to the fire to rally around tax and other incentives for local suppliers in industrial markets. In certain cases and supply categories, however, it will take decades to rebuild industries that have already largely moved to low-cost countries.
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